Packaging Corp Valuation

PKG Stock  USD 222.55  2.34  1.06%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Packaging Corp holds a recent Real Value of $200.88 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $222.55. Our model determines the value of Packaging Corp from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.07 %, shares outstanding of 89.98 M, and Return On Equity of 0.17 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Packaging Corp's valuation include:
Price Book
4.1665
Enterprise Value
23.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
21.1781
Price Sales
2.2042
Forward PE
19.2308
Overvalued
Today
222.55
Please note that Packaging Corp's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Packaging Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Packaging Corp's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Packaging stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Packaging Corp of. Since Packaging Corp is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Packaging Stock. However, Packaging Corp's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  222.55 Real  200.88 Target  230.4 Hype  222.03 Naive  221.31
The real value of Packaging Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Packaging Corp Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Packaging Corp's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Packaging Corp's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
199.28
Downside
200.88
Real Value
244.81
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Packaging Corp of helps investors to forecast how Packaging stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Packaging Corp more accurately as focusing exclusively on Packaging Corp's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
2.132.162.20
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
220.43222.03223.63
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
3.253.333.41
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
209.66230.40255.74
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Packaging Corp, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Packaging Corp Cash

827.14 Million

Packaging Revenue by Product

Packaging Corp Total Value Analysis

Packaging Corp of is at this time forecasted to have company total value of 23.44 B with market capitalization of 19.81 B, debt of 2.77 B, and cash on hands of 685 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Packaging Corp fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
23.44 B
19.81 B
2.77 B
685 M

Packaging Corp Investor Information

About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Packaging Corp was at this time reported as 53.21. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.69. Packaging Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Based on the analysis of Packaging Corp's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Packaging Corp of is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.0960.1397
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.4 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income641.9 M1.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Packaging Corp Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Packaging Corp has an asset utilization ratio of 101.77 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.02 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Packaging Corp of is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Packaging Corp Profitability Analysis

Considering Packaging Corp's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Packaging Corp of may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Packaging Corp's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1999-03-31
Previous Quarter
241.5 M
Current Value
101.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
80 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The Packaging Corp's current Gross Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.24, while Gross Profit is projected to decrease to roughly 1.1 B.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.240.2102
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Net Profit Margin0.05840.0855
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.0960.1397
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.080.1143
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.05810.082
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.150.16
Notably Down
Very volatile
For Packaging Corp profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Packaging Corp to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Packaging Corp utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Packaging Corp's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Packaging Corp over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Packaging Corp Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Packaging Corp is estimated to be 2.1648 with future projections ranging from a low of 2.13 to a high of 2.2. Packaging Corp's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 8.59. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Packaging Corp of is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Packaging Corp is projected to generate 2.1648 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Packaging Corp earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Packaging Corp EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Packaging Corp's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Packaging Corp, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Packaging Corp Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Packaging Corp's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Packaging Corp is estimated to be 2.1648 with the future projection ranging from a low of 2.13 to a high of 2.2. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Packaging Corp of is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
2.32
2.13
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.1648
2.20
Highest

Packaging Corp Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Packaging Corp's value are higher than the current market price of the Packaging Corp stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Packaging Corp is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Packaging Corp's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1194.16%
2.32
2.1648
8.59

Packaging Corp Ownership Allocation

Packaging Corp owns a total of 89.98 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Packaging Corp of outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These institutional holders are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to secure positions in Packaging Corp to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Packaging Corp. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Packaging Corp as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on January 16, 2026, Representative Julie Johnson of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Packaging Corp's common stock.

Packaging Corp Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.99 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 805.1 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.89 B.

Packaging Corp Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Packaging Corp's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Packaging Corp and how it compares across the competition.

About Packaging Corp Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Packaging Corp's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Packaging Corp. We calculate exposure to Packaging Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Packaging Corp's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.9 B1.1 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.11  0.08 
Operating Profit Margin 0.14  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.21  0.24 

Packaging Corp Quarterly Retained Earnings

4.09 Billion

Packaging Corp's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Packaging Corp's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Packaging Corp can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Packaging Corp represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Packaging, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Packaging Corp Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Packaging Corp's Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. . At this time, Packaging Corp's Price Earnings Ratio is most likely to increase in the upcoming years.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid516.1 M541.9 M
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.74  0.40 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.22  1.72 
There are various types of dividends Packaging Corp can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Packaging shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Packaging Corp of directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Packaging pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Packaging Corp by the value of the dividends paid out.

Packaging Corp Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Packaging Corp does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding89.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.539
Forward Price Earnings19.2308
Forward Annual Dividend Rate5
Shares Float87.8 M

Packaging Corp Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Packaging Corp of and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Packaging we look at many different elements of the entity such as Packaging's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Packaging Corp, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Packaging Corp's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Packaging Corp's worth.

Complementary Tools for Packaging Stock analysis

When running Packaging Corp's price analysis, check to measure Packaging Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Packaging Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Packaging Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Packaging Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Packaging Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Packaging Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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